I’m pleased to report that the Santa Clara County real estate market is going strong! This article includes a number of charts and graphs which show how remarkably well the real estate market is doing. Keep on reading for the full November 2020 Santa Clara County Real Estate Report.
The long-term median sales price chart below is similar to most other counties around the Bay Area – a significant spike in median house prices since the pandemic struck in early spring (except Bay Area condo markets have not seen comparable increases in prices).
As mentioned before, recent jumps in median house prices have been driven not only by appreciation in fair market values, but by large increases in expensive home sales. The median price has risen, due to some extent by a greater number of sales of larger, more expensive homes. Affluent buyers have made up a significantly larger percentage of Bay Area home purchases since the pandemic hit.
The market typically starts a seasonal slowdown in mid-November, running through the mid-winter holidays, until it bursts back to life in mid-January: New listings and sales plummet, and listings pulled off the market soar. Higher-price segments normally see the most dramatic plunges in mid-winter activity.
This year, the pandemic upended seasonality: Spring, usually the strongest selling season, saw a crash in activity; summer, which typically slows down – especially for luxury home sales – saw extremely high demand, particularly at the high end; and the heated summer market ran right into autumn, with most county markets generally unfazed by the terrible fires.
I suspect late Q4 will see a slowdown, but remain more active than in past years.
Luxury Home Sales by Month
Home Sales Breakdown
Market Dynamics by City
Following is a series of analyses that look at city sales volumes and median sales prices, luxury home sales, listings for sale, and a few standard measurements of supply and demand. Full county condo statistics are broken out on several of the charts – condos have generally seen weaker demand than the house market.
Following the city charts is a table with San Jose neighborhood statistics.
Note that very expensive homes often see softer supply and demand dynamics – the pool of buyers is much smaller, and overpricing more common for these very special properties – but this is not always the case.
Regarding the next chart: Percentages of 50% or more would typically be considered to reflect a high-demand market. Over 60% signifies very high demand, or as it climbs, extremely high demand.
City of San Jose Neighborhood Statistics