It seems that a perennial theme around living in California is that people are often thinking about leaving the state. You’ve probably heard the joke: “Will the last person to leave California please turn out the lights?”
As a native-born Californian, I can’t say I identify with the pull of other states. I’ve been all around this country, and all around the world – and there are plenty of great places to live, but none of them hold a candle, for me, to what California has to offer. And I know most Californians feel the same way. I know, because I talk to dozens of them every week, following up with people who have at one time or another expressed an interest in selling their homes.
But there’s no question that many long-time California homeowners will, for a variety of reasons, eventually decide to make a move out of a state. In my experience, for most, it’s the possibility of cashing in on the equity they’ve built up on their homes in California and moving to a place they’ll be able to pay cash for a home and dramatically lower their monthly expenses for a more comfortable retirement. For others, they’re moving to be closer to where their kids and grandkids have moved to – but this can get complicated when they have multiple kids and grandkids to choose from. And some folks have had it with California’s politics, packed highways, and high cost of…well, everything.
The single biggest impediment for people who want to cash in on their home equity is: where would I go? Most people do not sell for that simple reason – they don’t know where else they’d rather live. Interestingly enough, many folks looking to cash in on their home equity – that #1 reason for selling, in my experience – will remain in California, with some-day plans to move to Sacramento or somewhere in the Sierra foothills for example. This is often due to family and friends still living in northern California, and the desire to have a lower cost of living while not being half a continent away from them is a powerful reason to move “domestically.”
However, many Bay Area homeowners will in fact decide to leave the state, heading out for greener pastures beyond the Golden State’s borders. Many of them are quite up-in-the-air about where they would go. Two of the biggest criteria seem to be places where houses are cheap, and there’s lower taxes, especially income tax. So what are the top states that these California homeowners are considering? Let’s take a look.
Most-Mentioned States to Move to from California
From a financial perspective, some states that make sense for Californians to move to are:
- Texas – Texas has no state income tax, which can result in significant savings for high-income earners. It also has a low cost of living, especially when compared to California. However, it’s important to note that Texas does have much higher property tax than California – the 7th highest in the nation.
- Nevada – Nevada has no state income tax, which combined with its low cost of living, can result in significant savings for residents. Its proximity to California and the Bay Area – especially Reno or North Lake Tahoe – makes it a favorite of Californians looking to sell and move out of state. Nevada also has low property tax, somewhere around 0.5%.
- Arizona – Arizona has a lower cost of living than California, with a warmer climate and lower housing costs. Property Tax in Arizona averages around 0.5% per year. And while rising temperatures in Arizona will be challenging for Bay Area folks who have enjoyed the mild climate, the mountainous areas of Arizona will be fairly enticing.
- Oregon – While Oregon does have state income tax, it has a lower cost of living compared to California and a thriving tech industry, which can provide job opportunities. It also has a lower property tax rate than California, and is not too far away for folks wanting to maintain connections to friends and family still here.
- Washington – Washington also has a state income tax, but it has a thriving tech industry, a lower cost of living compared to California, and beautiful natural landscapes. However, property in the Seattle area is not much cheaper than most of the Bay Area, and the Washington property tax rate is fairly high, averaging about 0.95%.
NAR 2024 Study on Inflows and Outflows by State
The National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) published a report in October 2024 that job relocation trends significantly influence local real estate markets. States like Virginia, Texas, and South Carolina are experiencing increased housing demand due to high job inflows, leading to rising home prices. Conversely, states with job outflows, such as Louisiana, are seeing decreased housing demand and potential price declines. For instance, 41% of professionals leaving Louisiana for Texas cited better job opportunities as their reason. These migration patterns underscore the strong connection between employment shifts and housing market dynamics.
Regarding California, the report notes:
While California remains a major job market, the state saw nearly 87,000 professionals leave for opportunities elsewhere, surpassing its job inflows of about 69,000. High housing costs—particularly in areas like San Francisco and Los Angeles—coupled with a high cost of living, have driven many workers to relocate to more affordable states like Texas and Arizona. California’s high state income taxes push workers to states with more favorable tax policies, such as Texas. Specifically, 14% of professionals found jobs in Texas, and 9% in Arizona. Washington (8%) and Nevada (7%) are a couple of other popular destinations for Californian professionals.
Most Affordable States for Californians to Move To
Those five are the states that I hear most-often cited as states where people from California and the Silicon Valley are considering moving to. However, the San Jose Mercury News recently published an article that offers a deep analysis of which states truly make the most sense financially for Californians to move to.
Here’s what the article’s author has to say in terms of which states specifically make the most sense financially for Californias to move to:
It’s important to remember that moving to a new state can impact your financial situation in many ways, so it’s essential to carefully consider all the factors and make an informed decision.
Colorado blends top-shelf pay with a slightly above-average cost of living. My spreadsheet says that’s a life worth $119 for every $100 in California.
Next best deals were in Minnesota and New Hampshire at $117. Then comes Illinois at $116, Utah and Maryland at $115, Wyoming, Kansas and Nebraska at $113 and West Virginia at $112. There’s a middle American vibe within this list.
And tropical beauty aside, Hawaii ranks last as a $73 value for $100 in California. It was one of 12 states where this math showed California was a better financial bet.
Making the decision to leave California is one that needs to be made very carefully. I’ve spoken with many people who left the state only to end up missing it, and wishing they could come back. But coming back to California can be challenging, because buying back into this market can be cost-prohibitive, especially if you haven’t been accumulating wealth significantly while you’ve been out of state.
If, however, after sober reflection you’ve decided that moving out of state makes the most sense for you, then I encourage you to get a copy of my special report – the top relocation destinations for Bay Area homeowners. This report explores where people specifically from the Bay Area are moving to, and why.
Wonderful San Jose Homes for Sale
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